PROPERTY VALUATION UNDER UNCERTAINTY. SIMULATION VS STRATEGIC MODEL

Strategic exploitation of a common-property resource under uncertainty

We construct a game of noncooperative common-resource exploitation which delivers analytical solutions for its symmetric Markov-perfect Nash equilibrium. We examine how introducing uncertainty to the natural law of resource reproduction affects strategic exploitation. We show that the commons problem is always present in our example and we identify cases in which increases in risk amplify or mi...

Real options valuation under uncertainty

In this paper we develop a novel valuation model and methodology to value a pharmaceutical R&D project based on real options approach. The real options approach enables the possibility of optimally abandon the project before completion whenever the investment cost turns out to be larger than the expected net cash flow stream. On the other hand, the proposed model accounts for two different sour...

Strategic Technology Adoption under Technological Uncertainty

Bargaining Under Strategic Uncertainty

This paper provides a novel understanding of delays in reaching agreements based on the idea of strategic uncertainty—i.e., the idea that a Bargainer may face uncertainty about her opponent’s play, even if there is no uncertainty about the structure of the game. It considers a particular form of strategic uncertainty, called on path strategic certainty. On path strategic certainty is the assump...

Strategic Capacity Investment Under Uncertainty

Contrary to most of the papers in the literature of investment under uncertainty we study models that not only capture the timing, but also the size of the investment. We consider a monopoly setting as well as a duopoly setting and compare the results with the standard models in which the firms do not have the capacity choice. Our main results are the following. First, for low uncertainty value...